2011年03月04日
price upsurge
The finished product oil fee hike window way in advance lends breeze to stir-fry to make may be an oil price upsurge main cause
Under the Libyan situation incitement, already the depth finance turns of the international oil price has already broken 100(closing price).Yesterday dawn, the market"direction of wind mark" crude oil in New York expected USD 102.23 for price report|bucket, soared USD 2.60, the rise was 2.61%.This is that index sign since September, 2008 for the very first time break USD 100|the bucket is above.
At the same time, the basis oil price cloth Lun in the North Sea, England of Europe especially the crude oil price soar USD 0.93, USD 116.35 for report|bucket;OPEC(OPEC) one Lan sub- crude oil reference price Be tiny to fall USD 0.23 and quote USD 108.27|bucket.
It is a main cause to lend breeze to stir-fry to make
"The ground factor with political good luck still and just and continuously influences an already impressionable international crude oil market, investor several atmosphere are obviously more than short seller atmosphere."Yesterday, Pu surname energy information Chinese energy market deluxe director general China big Wei to 《 international finance report 》 reporter said, " current oil price far super supply and demand basic situation originally the price of that reflection.Is also say, the market stir-fries to make strength to temporarily exceed basic situation, and rate of exchange...etc. other factors and becomes the biggest factor of push price."
Currently, the market stir-fries to make most importance to lend be worry a crude oil supply strain."Actually, Europe supplies to slightly be subjected to influence(the Libyan crude oil great majority transfers to Europe), besides which, , the market talks to not and up lack oil."Yesterday, University of Xiamen Chinese energy economy director, Lin Bo2 Qiang, in the research center told 《international finance report 》reporter, so, "lacked oil" just stir-fried to make of"lent".
"The still international market mobility excess of the root factor that this international petroleum price soars.The unsteady factor of "the intergalactic stock certificate chief economist left small Lei keeps speech more, " ground good luck politics in Middle East is a capital to stir-fries to make best of'story'."
Just like expert's words, include an OPEC and international energy office at inside of organization and organization all have already outward made to boost production commitment, global biggest energy need country United States even expresses the market of "really don't go, also have storage to maintain a need" to see empty signal."As a result, unless the situation expands the whole inside east region, and long-last can not solve, this just may appear outside words of'the fourth-time petroleum crisis'."Lin Bo2 Qiang says.
For the future trend, China big Wei means, the international oil price is very difficult long-last keep in USD 100 above, "experience proof, brief after exploding to stir-fry, the international oil price is end meeting regression basic situation.And analyze from the stock data, the current stock compares all high in 2008, namely market demands didn't°yet such as imagination in so high, don't more impossibly form very strong price to prop up."
But standard bank in South Africa insists thinking, the direction not clear"make the further north bound of oil price made possible" in Middle East, the North Africa political foreground in the region.
The big religion merchandise Pu rises
In fact, the international oil price soars to bring of not only was a market to get empty battling out of atmosphere more, but also brought soaring of other resources priceses.The love set up a stock certificate to release a report to point out recently, "because of the motion and the crude oil price of international coal(owned petroleum part act for function) price was very strong existence allied moved sex, the soaring of crude oil price will arouse soaring of international coal price."
"Not only is an international coal price, Be big religion merchandise in of most foundation price, the soaring of crude oil price will arouse recently other greatly believe in a merchandise of soaring of price.In the short run, the "Lin Bo2 Qiang points out that"'s gold price, price of silver, copper price and aluminum price is going to iron mine stone and food prices will continue to soar."
The reporter discovers that the international copper price, gold price and price of silver will take turns to create a new high that has ever had in the near future, the iron mine stone of the Chinese market price keeps on more maintenance at the history high, but avoids insurance the capital again and again get into the circumstance of big religion merchandise realm recently as well very obvious.
Yesterday, was called the Ji Mu of "investment master" ·Luo's hero Si also publicly predicted, "the coming year, the world greatly believed in commodity market to keep a bull market."He is optimistic about an agricultural product most [17.770.28%s]of investment value, "the price of global agricultural product still keep being underrated, the price of refined sugar even is underrated a near half".
The fee hike window way arrives in advance
Remarkable BE, greatly believing in soaring of merchandise price will make the world not a few national, is a Chinese etc. new nation to particularly pay a more prices.
The analytical personage points out that first, China will pay a more import cost-have an expert to measure to calculate, currently oil price if soar 20%, China will pay 200,000,000,000 more USD for import;Secondly, Chinese consumer will also for this pay not thin price-provides according to the interest prosperous energy of information, though Be under 22 workdays, the international oil price changes range 4% super fee hike"red line" is already.
More important, China will continue to bear a cost push type the inflation for bringing.The data suggests that the price index number(PPI) of manufacturer from October, 2010 connects to rise for 4 months, and PPI in February is also thought "not low"s by the expert.This means that PPI to the CPI conduction pressure is still very big.
"It is can hardly for foreign inflation to have good method to cope with."Lin Bo2 Qiang says that" in the short run, even the problem that can send to hope to pass diplomacy means to solve Middle East region soon.In the long run, this is exactly the opportunity of Chinese energy realm.China should continue to push forward speed economy development the transformation of way, since low to the dependence of the resourceses, practical etc. for attaining economy energy to reduce a row.In the meantime, opportunity to take advantage of this in China actively sweeps energy to launch a research towards acting for energy and, and work well the depth development toward the rights resources product."
Under the Libyan situation incitement, already the depth finance turns of the international oil price has already broken 100(closing price).Yesterday dawn, the market"direction of wind mark" crude oil in New York expected USD 102.23 for price report|bucket, soared USD 2.60, the rise was 2.61%.This is that index sign since September, 2008 for the very first time break USD 100|the bucket is above.
At the same time, the basis oil price cloth Lun in the North Sea, England of Europe especially the crude oil price soar USD 0.93, USD 116.35 for report|bucket;OPEC(OPEC) one Lan sub- crude oil reference price Be tiny to fall USD 0.23 and quote USD 108.27|bucket.
It is a main cause to lend breeze to stir-fry to make
"The ground factor with political good luck still and just and continuously influences an already impressionable international crude oil market, investor several atmosphere are obviously more than short seller atmosphere."Yesterday, Pu surname energy information Chinese energy market deluxe director general China big Wei to 《 international finance report 》 reporter said, " current oil price far super supply and demand basic situation originally the price of that reflection.Is also say, the market stir-fries to make strength to temporarily exceed basic situation, and rate of exchange...etc. other factors and becomes the biggest factor of push price."
Currently, the market stir-fries to make most importance to lend be worry a crude oil supply strain."Actually, Europe supplies to slightly be subjected to influence(the Libyan crude oil great majority transfers to Europe), besides which, , the market talks to not and up lack oil."Yesterday, University of Xiamen Chinese energy economy director, Lin Bo2 Qiang, in the research center told 《international finance report 》reporter, so, "lacked oil" just stir-fried to make of"lent".
"The still international market mobility excess of the root factor that this international petroleum price soars.The unsteady factor of "the intergalactic stock certificate chief economist left small Lei keeps speech more, " ground good luck politics in Middle East is a capital to stir-fries to make best of'story'."
Just like expert's words, include an OPEC and international energy office at inside of organization and organization all have already outward made to boost production commitment, global biggest energy need country United States even expresses the market of "really don't go, also have storage to maintain a need" to see empty signal."As a result, unless the situation expands the whole inside east region, and long-last can not solve, this just may appear outside words of'the fourth-time petroleum crisis'."Lin Bo2 Qiang says.
For the future trend, China big Wei means, the international oil price is very difficult long-last keep in USD 100 above, "experience proof, brief after exploding to stir-fry, the international oil price is end meeting regression basic situation.And analyze from the stock data, the current stock compares all high in 2008, namely market demands didn't°yet such as imagination in so high, don't more impossibly form very strong price to prop up."
But standard bank in South Africa insists thinking, the direction not clear"make the further north bound of oil price made possible" in Middle East, the North Africa political foreground in the region.
The big religion merchandise Pu rises
In fact, the international oil price soars to bring of not only was a market to get empty battling out of atmosphere more, but also brought soaring of other resources priceses.The love set up a stock certificate to release a report to point out recently, "because of the motion and the crude oil price of international coal(owned petroleum part act for function) price was very strong existence allied moved sex, the soaring of crude oil price will arouse soaring of international coal price."
"Not only is an international coal price, Be big religion merchandise in of most foundation price, the soaring of crude oil price will arouse recently other greatly believe in a merchandise of soaring of price.In the short run, the "Lin Bo2 Qiang points out that"'s gold price, price of silver, copper price and aluminum price is going to iron mine stone and food prices will continue to soar."
The reporter discovers that the international copper price, gold price and price of silver will take turns to create a new high that has ever had in the near future, the iron mine stone of the Chinese market price keeps on more maintenance at the history high, but avoids insurance the capital again and again get into the circumstance of big religion merchandise realm recently as well very obvious.
Yesterday, was called the Ji Mu of "investment master" ·Luo's hero Si also publicly predicted, "the coming year, the world greatly believed in commodity market to keep a bull market."He is optimistic about an agricultural product most [17.770.28%s]of investment value, "the price of global agricultural product still keep being underrated, the price of refined sugar even is underrated a near half".
The fee hike window way arrives in advance
Remarkable BE, greatly believing in soaring of merchandise price will make the world not a few national, is a Chinese etc. new nation to particularly pay a more prices.
The analytical personage points out that first, China will pay a more import cost-have an expert to measure to calculate, currently oil price if soar 20%, China will pay 200,000,000,000 more USD for import;Secondly, Chinese consumer will also for this pay not thin price-provides according to the interest prosperous energy of information, though Be under 22 workdays, the international oil price changes range 4% super fee hike"red line" is already.
More important, China will continue to bear a cost push type the inflation for bringing.The data suggests that the price index number(PPI) of manufacturer from October, 2010 connects to rise for 4 months, and PPI in February is also thought "not low"s by the expert.This means that PPI to the CPI conduction pressure is still very big.
"It is can hardly for foreign inflation to have good method to cope with."Lin Bo2 Qiang says that" in the short run, even the problem that can send to hope to pass diplomacy means to solve Middle East region soon.In the long run, this is exactly the opportunity of Chinese energy realm.China should continue to push forward speed economy development the transformation of way, since low to the dependence of the resourceses, practical etc. for attaining economy energy to reduce a row.In the meantime, opportunity to take advantage of this in China actively sweeps energy to launch a research towards acting for energy and, and work well the depth development toward the rights resources product."
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